Army West Point
W-L: (13- 3) PR = 98.0390Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 14- 8 207 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 11- 9 214 H Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 12- 6 221 N Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.5) 13-11 223 A Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 16- 7 228 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 13- 5 306 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 9-10 314 A Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 8-10 321 A North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 11-12 328 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 14-11 404 A Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 14- 8 411 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 14- 9 418 A Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 15- 9 424 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 17- 6 501 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 13- 6 o 503 N Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 14- 7 o
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 H Massachusetts 14- 8 6 6 -0.28
207 A Rutgers 11- 9 2 3 -0.54
214 H Yale 12- 6 6 3 + 3.41
221 N Michigan 13-11 2 4 -1.58
223 A Mercer 16- 7 9 8 0.00
228 H Holy Cross (MA) 13- 5 8 9 0.00
306 A Lafayette 9-10 -1 6 --- -7.06
314 A Boston University 8-10 -2 2 - -3.98
321 A North Carolina 11-12 -1 -2 1.04
328 H Lehigh 14-11 3 5 -1.68
404 A Bucknell 14- 8 6 5 1.25
411 H Navy 14- 9 5 5 -0.43
418 A Loyola 15- 9 6 2 + 3.65
424 H Colgate 17- 6 11 6 0.58
501 H Lehigh 13- 6 o 7 5 + 2.32
503 N Loyola 14- 7 o 7 4 + 3.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Lafayette 9-10 -1 6 --- -7.06 314 A Boston University 8-10 -2 2 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Yale 12- 6 6 3 + 3.41 418 A Loyola 15- 9 6 2 + 3.65 501 H Lehigh 13- 6 o 7 5 + 2.32 503 N Loyola 14- 7 o 7 4 + 3.28 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 14- 8 -6.77 13.83 -1.38 0.89 22.29
0 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 11- 9 -5.77 14.82 1.38 0.89 28.98
0 H Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 12- 6 -3.07 17.52 -1.38 0.89 28.89
0 N Michigan ( 5- 9, 94.5) 13-11 -5.44 15.16 -0.00 0.89 27.12
0 A Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 16- 7 -11.43 9.17 1.38 0.89 18.86
0 H Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 13- 5 -9.63 10.97 -1.38 0.89 17.16
0 A Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 9-10 -9.29 11.30 1.38 0.89 -3.54
0 A Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 8-10 -5.22 15.38 1.38 0.89 -1.72
0 A North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 11-12 -1.19 19.40 1.38 0.89 -0.08
0 H Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 14-11 -5.16 15.43 -1.38 0.89 25.15
0 A Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 14- 8 -7.99 12.61 1.38 0.89 25.02
0 H Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 14- 9 -5.91 14.69 -1.38 0.89 23.81
0 A Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 15- 9 -5.58 15.02 1.38 0.89 29.32
0 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 17- 6 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 0.89 22.04
0 H Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 13- 6 -5.16 15.43 -1.38 0.89 25.15
0 N Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 14- 7 -5.58 15.02 -0.00 0.89 26.86
------
315.32
|
winning pts = 320.6580 losing points = -5.3416
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------